There is much variation in the estimate of the number of homes currently in foreclosure and those that are seriously delinquent. As I noted in a previous blog post Lender Processing Services estimated that the number of delinquent and foreclosed properties was approaching 6.4 million. Different real estate research companies have differing ways of estimating this number however, and the estimates range from 1.6 million to 8.2 million delinquent mortgages. Capital Economics estimates that the shadow inventory is 4.3 million homes and they call this a cautious underestimate. They say that with 4 million homes waiting to be eventually added to the supply of properties for sale it will take 18 months to clear both the visible and shadow inventory of homes.




